Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. 5 / 30. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Overall: 98 and 96. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. My, my, how the game has changed. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. 21 RB Sleepers. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Baltimore Ravens: Most underrated, overrated players of all time James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Wait until next year. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Preseason may help a little. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. His current draft price is almost his upside. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. Barkley is a workhorse. Green Bay Packers: Most underrated, overrated players of all time - NFL.com Single Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Before McKissic was injured with a concussion in Week 12, which forced him to miss the remainder of the season, Gibson was only getting targeted 2.6 times per game. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . . John Riggins 19. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Simpson 13. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. The Top Ten. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Its a knock on his offensive line. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Most overrated Running back in NFL history : r/nfl - reddit Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. ESPN lists Georgia's James Cook as one of two 'most overrated' running I'm out. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. He yields passing work to J.D. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. So what's the concern? The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Walter Payton 5. James is the more physically gifted player. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time | TheRichest This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. I would probably rank him around 43. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Yep. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + WHO ARE THE MOST OVERRATED FANTASY FOOTBALL RUNNING BACKS? This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. Adrian . Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Most overrated qbs of all time | Acrylic Pittsburghs front five looks nothing like last years group. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. In Week 16 of the 2011 season, Adrian Peterson tore his ACL and returned as the #1 overall running back in 2012. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. Photo: Isaiah J. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. Ricky Watters 20. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Thurman Thomas 14. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. No thanks. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Single Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Curtis Martin 11. O.J. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. Green Bay seems to like A.J. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. McKissic. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23.
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